Since I did not correctly predict last year's Nobel Prize winners, my predictions for this year will look fairly similar to last year's.
1. Lars P. Hansen and/or Hal White. I had them first last year and it has been one additional year since the last econometrics selection.
2. Richard Thaler and/or Robert Schiller.
4. Gordon Tullock. Trendier choice than last year.
4. Paul Romer. I dropped him behind Tullock since Macro won last year.
I offer my view of what should happen: Robert Shiller gets the 2011 Prize, and American citizens are thereafter excluded from Prize-eligibility for the rest of the century. Keeping very instructive, simple asset price histories such as
ReplyDelete“Real Homes, Real Dow” at
http://homepage.mac.com/ttsmyf/RHandRD.html
very-little-apparent to the people is condemnable deception by omission — done by the economics, and other, professions. (Of course, Shiller is the exception.)
Any follow-up on this post perhaps?
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