Since my 2010 Econ Nobel Prize prediction was so on the mark, I have decided to predict the 2010 US elections. Gains for the GOP:
House: +63 (net)
Without listing every seat, here is the list of some marginal seats I predict victory in:
AZ 8, ID 1, IL 14, KY 6, MO 4, NC 2, 7 and 8, NH 2, NY 23, OH 6, OR 5, and WV 1.
Seats lost by the GOP:
DE AL, IL 10, and LA 2. (Barely holding HI 1 and FL 25)
Marginal seats GOP misses barely:
AR 4, AZ 7, CA 20, CT 4 and 5, MI 9, MN 8, NY 1 and 24, OH 18, VA 9 and 11. (They also lose races that they should have done better in IA 3, IN 2, and PA 12).
Senate: +8
Gains: AR, CO, IL, IN, ND, NV, PA, and WI (GOP loses close race in WA)
The GOP holds all currently held Senate seats.
For additional perspectives and invaluable resources in making my predictions:
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